Having kept themselves in the tie ahead of the trip to Yorkshire, Luton will feel like the pressure has been lifted with Huddersfield still the clear favourites to progress. Nevertheless, we cannot ignore the Terriers' home form, leading us to predict a narrow victory for the hosts.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huddersfield Town win with a probability of 47.87%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 25.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huddersfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Huddersfield Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Huddersfield Town.
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