Cardiff do not have too much to play for between now and the end of the season, but the same cannot be said for Luton, who have the fifth-best away record in the Championship this season. We are expecting a tight match on Monday afternoon but believe that the visitors will have enough to secure a huge three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Cardiff City	Draw	Luton Town
32.14%	27.38%	40.48%

Both teams to score 49.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.63%

56.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.61%

77.39%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.54%

32.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.01%

68.98%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.69%

27.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.24%

62.75%

Score Analysis

Cardiff City 32.14%

Luton Town 40.47%

Draw 27.37%

Cardiff City	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 9.97% 2-1 @ 7.28% 2-0 @ 5.61% 3-1 @ 2.73% 3-0 @ 2.1% 3-2 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.14%	1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 8.87% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.37%	0-1 @ 11.5% 1-2 @ 8.4% 0-2 @ 7.47% 1-3 @ 3.64% 0-3 @ 3.23% 2-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.97% Total : 40.47%