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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 7, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Kenilworth Road
RL

Luton
1 - 0
Reading

Cornick (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rahman (41')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-0 Reading
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-0 Reading

It will certainly be a nervous afternoon at Kenilworth Road, but we expect Luton to get the job done and secure an all-important victory. The Hatters have been strong at home all season and Reading have shown in their last two games that there is little motivation in the squad now that they are assured of safety. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 56.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Reading had a probability of 19.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawReading
56.72%23.56%19.72%
Both teams to score 49.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.61%50.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.67%72.33%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.43%17.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.88%48.12%
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.11%39.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.45%76.55%
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 56.7%
    Reading 19.72%
    Draw 23.56%
Luton TownDrawReading
1-0 @ 12.18%
2-0 @ 10.59%
2-1 @ 9.74%
3-0 @ 6.14%
3-1 @ 5.65%
4-0 @ 2.67%
3-2 @ 2.6%
4-1 @ 2.46%
4-2 @ 1.13%
5-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 56.7%
1-1 @ 11.2%
0-0 @ 7.01%
2-2 @ 4.48%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 23.56%
0-1 @ 6.44%
1-2 @ 5.15%
0-2 @ 2.96%
1-3 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 1.37%
0-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 19.72%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Fulham 7-0 Luton
Monday, May 2 at 5.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-1 Blackpool
Saturday, April 23 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 0-1 Luton
Monday, April 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Nott'm Forest
Friday, April 15 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 2-0 Luton
Monday, April 11 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Peterborough 1-1 Luton
Tuesday, April 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 0-1 West Brom
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 3-0 Reading
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 4-4 Swansea
Monday, April 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-2 Reading
Friday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 1-2 Cardiff
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 2-1 Stoke
Tuesday, April 5 at 8pm in Championship


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