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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Kenilworth Road
NF

Luton
1 - 0
Nott'm Forest

Naismith (37' pen.)
Bradley (26'), Naismith (49'), Onyedinma (56'), Burke (63'), Campbell (63'), Shea (69'), Adebayo (90+3')
Bradley (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Garner (44'), Davis (63'), Worrall (74'), Figueiredo (90+6')

We said: Luton Town 1-3 Nottingham Forest

While both clubs will feel under pressure to record a win on Friday, the stakes are arguably higher for the home side as they look to fend off the chasing pack. Nevertheless, we simply cannot back against Forest versus any other club right now, leading us to predict another victory and more goals for Cooper's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawNottingham Forest
39.23%27.85%32.91%
Both teams to score 47.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.02%57.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.33%78.67%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.22%28.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.38%64.62%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.24%32.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.68%69.31%
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 39.23%
    Nottingham Forest 32.91%
    Draw 27.85%
Luton TownDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 11.74%
2-1 @ 8.16%
2-0 @ 7.31%
3-1 @ 3.39%
3-0 @ 3.04%
3-2 @ 1.89%
4-1 @ 1.06%
4-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 39.23%
1-1 @ 13.1%
0-0 @ 9.43%
2-2 @ 4.55%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.85%
0-1 @ 10.52%
1-2 @ 7.31%
0-2 @ 5.87%
1-3 @ 2.72%
0-3 @ 2.18%
2-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 32.91%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Huddersfield 2-0 Luton
Monday, April 11 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Peterborough 1-1 Luton
Tuesday, April 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-2 Millwall
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-3 Luton
Saturday, March 19 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 4-0 Preston
Wednesday, March 16 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-2 QPR
Sunday, March 13 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-0 Birmingham
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-0 Coventry
Wednesday, April 6 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackpool 1-4 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, April 2 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 0-1 Liverpool
Sunday, March 20 at 6pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 3-1 QPR
Wednesday, March 16 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 4-0 Reading
Saturday, March 12 at 3pm in Championship


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