Huddersfield needed the November international break far more than Southampton, and it creates the potential for a surprise result. However, we have to back the growing consistency of the Saints, who can remain very much in contention for automatic promotion.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 48.06%. A win for Huddersfield Town had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Huddersfield Town win was 1-0 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
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