SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
36.19% ( 0.05) | 25.79% ( 0.36) | 38.02% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 54.94% ( -1.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.74% ( -1.63) | 49.26% ( 1.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.68% ( -1.48) | 71.31% ( 1.48) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.61% ( -0.73) | 26.39% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.46% ( -0.98) | 61.54% ( 0.98) |
| West Bromwich Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.64% ( -0.97) | 25.36% ( 0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.85% ( -1.35) | 60.15% ( 1.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
| 1-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.24% Total : 36.19% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.43)2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 8.39% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.57% Total : 38.02% |
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