SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 37.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Hull City win was 2-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Southampton in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hull City | Draw | Southampton |
37.5% ( -0.72) | 24.44% ( -0.38) | 38.05% ( 1.09) |
| Both teams to score 59.82% ( 1.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57% ( 1.81) | 43% ( -1.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.6% ( 1.77) | 65.4% ( -1.77) |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.2% ( 0.44) | 22.79% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.5% ( 0.65) | 56.5% ( -0.65) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.49% ( 1.39) | 22.51% ( -1.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.92% ( 2.03) | 56.08% ( -2.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hull City | Draw | Southampton |
| 2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.52)2-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.31)3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.3% Total : 37.5% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.18)0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.42)3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.44% | 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.3)0-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.21)0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.15)2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.05% |
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