The international break came at the right time for Hull, but not so much for a Luton side building momentum. Having had time to take stock of their recent form, we feel that the home side will respond with a performance which is good enough to earn a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 48.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Hull City had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Hull City win it was 1-0 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.
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