Following Tuesday's disappointing result, Swansea will head into the weekend looking to deliver an immediate response. The Swans take on a floundering Luton Town side who are yet to find their feet this season and we are backing them to come away with a slender victory in front of the home crowd. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Swansea City	Draw	Luton Town
37.9% ( 4.66)	27.18% ( -0.36)	34.91% ( -4.3)

Both teams to score 50.26% (

1.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.84% (

1.62)

55.15% (

-1.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.6% (

1.32)

76.4% (

-1.32)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.81% (

3.73)

28.19% (

-3.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.11% (

4.48)

63.88% (

-4.48)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.99% (

-1.79)

30.01% (

1.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.87% (

-2.21)

66.13% (

2.21)

Score Analysis

Swansea City 37.9%

Luton Town 34.91%

Draw 27.18%

Swansea City	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.73) 2-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.91) 3-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.62) 3-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.63) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.29) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.28) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.27) Other @ 1.87% Total : 37.9%	1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.55) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.21) Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.18%	0-1 @ 10.18% ( -1.21) 1-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.47) 0-2 @ 6.13% ( -1.08) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.36) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.58) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.36% Total : 34.91%