Despite Hull's win in midweek, their inconsistency and poor home form does not give much encouragement ahead of the visit of a confident Luton side. We think that the Hatters will continue their playoff charge with a victory at the MKM Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 36.66%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.45%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Hull City win was 1-0 (12.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Hull City	Draw	Luton Town
33.95%	29.4%	36.66%

Both teams to score 43.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.81%

63.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.39%

82.61%

Hull City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.22%

34.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.49%

71.52%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.03%

32.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.45%

69.56%

Score Analysis

Hull City 33.95%

Luton Town 36.65%

Draw 29.38%

Hull City	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 12.11% 2-1 @ 7.1% 2-0 @ 6.4% 3-1 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.21% Total : 33.95%	1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 11.46% 2-2 @ 3.94% Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.38%	0-1 @ 12.72% 1-2 @ 7.45% 0-2 @ 7.06% 1-3 @ 2.76% 0-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.6% Total : 36.65%