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Championship | Gameweek 11
Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
BL

Luton
2 - 0
Blackburn

Morris (58'), Burke (67')
Morris (41'), Lockyer (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Travis (45+1'), Brittain (61')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 2-2 Coventry
Wednesday, September 14 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-2 Blackburn Rovers

Although 15 places separate these two sides at present, a closely-fought contest is to be expected at Kenilworth Road. Both teams have had plenty of joy in front of goal in recent weeks and we can see an entertaining score draw played out this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 46.65%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 26.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawBlackburn Rovers
46.65% (-0.302 -0.3) 26.86% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08) 26.49% (0.383 0.38)
Both teams to score 47.65% (0.512 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.21% (0.515 0.52)56.79% (-0.515 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.27% (0.41 0.41)77.73% (-0.40900000000001 -0.41)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.66% (0.082999999999998 0.08)24.34% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.27% (0.116 0.12)58.74% (-0.115 -0.12)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.98% (0.608 0.61)37.02% (-0.607 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.19% (0.599 0.6)73.81% (-0.599 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 46.65%
    Blackburn Rovers 26.49%
    Draw 26.86%
Luton TownDrawBlackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 12.73% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-0 @ 9% (-0.135 -0.14)
2-1 @ 8.94% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.24% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.21% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.043 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 46.65%
1-1 @ 12.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.01% (-0.179 -0.18)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 8.96% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.29% (0.099 0.1)
0-2 @ 4.45% (0.059 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.08% (0.067 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.47% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 26.49%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Luton 2-2 Coventry
Wednesday, September 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-2 Wigan
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-2 Luton
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-1 Sheff Utd
Friday, August 26 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 0-2 Luton
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 2-0 Luton
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 2-0 Watford
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 2-3 Bristol City
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackpool 0-1 Blackburn
Wednesday, August 31 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 0-1 Stoke
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bradford 1-2 Blackburn
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Sheff Utd 3-0 Blackburn
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Championship


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