Coventry arrive lacking any confidence, and, while Luton are yet to establish the dominance on home turf that they have shown in previous seasons, they should have enough to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Coventry City
45.52% ( 0.9)	26.45% ( 0.08)	28.03% ( -0.98)

Both teams to score 49.9% (

-0.84)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.59% (

-0.79)

54.41% (

0.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.22% (

-0.66)

75.78% (

0.66)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.16% (

0.09)

23.84% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.98% (

0.13)

58.02% (

-0.12)

Coventry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.52% (

-1.18)

34.47% (

1.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.81% (

-1.27)

71.19% (

1.27)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 45.51%

Coventry City 28.03%

Draw 26.45%

Luton Town	Draw	Coventry City
1-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.67% Total : 45.51%	1-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.45%	0-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.21% Total : 28.03%