SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 60.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 18.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Bristol City win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Bristol City |
60.45% ( 0.11) | 20.8% ( -0.09) | 18.74% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.88% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.17% ( 0.42) | 39.83% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.81% ( 0.44) | 62.19% ( -0.43) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.22% ( 0.16) | 12.78% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.93% ( 0.34) | 39.07% ( -0.33) |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.21% ( 0.23) | 34.79% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.48% ( 0.25) | 71.52% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Bristol City |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.41% ( -0.07)1-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 6.45% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.62% Total : 60.45% | 1-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.8% | 1-2 @ 5.1% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 18.74% |
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