SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 81.17%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 6.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.26%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.86%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (2.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Rotherham United |
81.17% ( -0.79) | 12.4% ( 0.46) | 6.42% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 46.36% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.56% ( -0.96) | 32.43% ( 0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.93% ( -1.12) | 54.07% ( 1.12) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.92% ( -0.34) | 6.08% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.9% ( -0.95) | 23.09% ( 0.95) |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.36% ( 0.26) | 50.64% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.9% ( 0.17) | 85.1% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 2-0 @ 12.06% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 11.26% ( -0.1)1-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.27)2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.22)5-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.09)5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.73% Total : 81.16% | 1-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.67% Total : 12.4% | 0-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 2% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.33% Total : 6.42% |
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