SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Ipswich Town |
32.71% ( -0.31) | 25.88% ( 0.1) | 41.4% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 53.95% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.76% ( -0.5) | 50.23% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.81% ( -0.45) | 72.19% ( 0.45) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.01% ( -0.45) | 28.98% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.12% ( -0.56) | 64.88% ( 0.56) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.97% ( -0.12) | 24.02% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.71% ( -0.17) | 58.28% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Millwall | Draw | Ipswich Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.71% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.9% Total : 41.4% |
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