Curiously, Leicester City have lost seven of their last nine league games on Boxing Day, with their sole success an unlikely one - against Manchester City in 2018. They are not likely to slip up again on this occasion, as the league leaders travel to Portman Road following a confidence-shaking stumble for closest Championship challengers Ipswich.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.82%) and 2-0 (5.16%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
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