SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Middlesbrough |
42.78% ( -0.01) | 23.47% ( 0) | 33.75% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 62.79% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.13% ( -0.02) | 38.87% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.81% ( -0.03) | 61.18% ( 0.02) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.44% ( -0.01) | 18.55% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.18% ( -0.02) | 49.81% ( 0.02) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.09% ( -0.01) | 22.9% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.33% ( -0.02) | 56.66% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.03% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.99% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.68% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.39% 4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.58% Total : 42.78% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.46% | 1-2 @ 7.78% 0-1 @ 6.26% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.62% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.27% 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 3.2% Total : 33.75% |
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