SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 50.41%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 24.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.89%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-0 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City | Draw | Coventry City |
24.98% ( -0.98) | 24.61% ( 0.5) | 50.41% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 53.02% ( -2.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.87% ( -2.94) | 49.12% ( 2.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.8% ( -2.71) | 71.19% ( 2.72) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.86% ( -2.38) | 34.13% ( 2.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.17% ( -2.65) | 70.82% ( 2.65) |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.5% ( -0.95) | 19.5% ( 0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.62% ( -1.57) | 51.37% ( 1.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City | Draw | Coventry City |
| 1-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.24)2-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.25)3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.26)3-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.22% Total : 24.98% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.77)2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.36)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.6% | 0-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.96) 1-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.54)1-3 @ 5.21% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 4.85% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.29)1-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.14)0-4 @ 1.98% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.97% Total : 50.41% |
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