SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 19.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-2 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Leicester City |
58.68% ( -1.82) | 21.39% ( 0.68) | 19.92% ( 1.14) |
| Both teams to score 56.93% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.25% ( -1.42) | 40.74% ( 1.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.87% ( -1.47) | 63.13% ( 1.48) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.4% ( -0.99) | 13.59% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.28% ( -2.01) | 40.72% ( 2.01) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.89% ( 0.33) | 34.11% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.2% ( 0.36) | 70.79% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Leicester City |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.26)2-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.25)3-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.29)3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.25)4-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.26)4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.12)5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.15)5-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.16)Other @ 3.3% Total : 58.68% | 1-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.3)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.39% | 1-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.36)0-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.11% Total : 19.92% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
