Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 46.4%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 26.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.04%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-0 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Barnsley
26.48%	27.12%	46.4%

Both teams to score 46.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.29%

57.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.54%

78.46%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.47%

37.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.69%

74.31%

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.13%

24.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.53%

59.48%

Score Analysis

Luton Town 26.48%

Barnsley 46.39%

Draw 27.11%

Luton Town	Draw	Barnsley
1-0 @ 9.15% 2-1 @ 6.24% 2-0 @ 4.48% 3-1 @ 2.04% 3-0 @ 1.46% 3-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 1.7% Total : 26.48%	1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 9.33% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.11%	0-1 @ 12.98% 0-2 @ 9.04% 1-2 @ 8.86% 0-3 @ 4.19% 1-3 @ 4.11% 2-3 @ 2.01% 0-4 @ 1.46% 1-4 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.32% Total : 46.39%