Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 49.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 24.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.3%) and 1-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-0 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Swansea City in this match.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Swansea City
24.96%	25.9%	49.13%

Both teams to score 49.11%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.73%

54.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.34%

75.66%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.05%

36.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.26%

73.73%

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.88%

22.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.51%

55.48%

Score Analysis

Luton Town 24.96%

Swansea City 49.12%

Draw 25.9%

Luton Town	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 8.14% 2-1 @ 6.11% 2-0 @ 4.05% 3-1 @ 2.03% 3-2 @ 1.53% 3-0 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.77% Total : 24.96%	1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 8.17% 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.9%	0-1 @ 12.32% 0-2 @ 9.3% 1-2 @ 9.26% 0-3 @ 4.68% 1-3 @ 4.66% 2-3 @ 2.32% 0-4 @ 1.77% 1-4 @ 1.76% Other @ 3.06% Total : 49.12%