SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 49.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 24.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.3%) and 1-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-0 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Swansea City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Swansea City |
| 24.96% | 25.9% | 49.13% |
| Both teams to score 49.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.73% | 54.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.34% | 75.66% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.05% | 36.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.26% | 73.73% |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.88% | 22.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.51% | 55.48% |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 8.14% 2-1 @ 6.11% 2-0 @ 4.05% 3-1 @ 2.03% 3-2 @ 1.53% 3-0 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.77% Total : 24.96% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 8.17% 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.9% | 0-1 @ 12.32% 0-2 @ 9.3% 1-2 @ 9.26% 0-3 @ 4.68% 1-3 @ 4.66% 2-3 @ 2.32% 0-4 @ 1.77% 1-4 @ 1.76% Other @ 3.06% Total : 49.12% |
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