Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.