Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.