SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Preston North End | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 30.74% | 27.64% | 41.62% |
| Both teams to score 47.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.27% | 57.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.52% | 78.48% |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.82% | 34.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.13% | 70.86% |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.67% | 27.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.22% | 62.78% |
| Score Analysis |
| Preston North End | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 6.98% 2-0 @ 5.38% 3-1 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 1.93% 3-2 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.3% Total : 30.73% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.34% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.63% | 0-1 @ 12.11% 1-2 @ 8.44% 0-2 @ 7.86% 1-3 @ 3.65% 0-3 @ 3.4% 2-3 @ 1.96% 1-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.91% Total : 41.61% |
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