Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
