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SL
Championship | Gameweek 16
Dec 5, 2020 at 3pm UK
Liberty Stadium
LT

Swansea
2 - 0
Luton

Roberts (2'), Ayew (90')
Roberts (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rea (52'), Pearson (59')
Pearson (69')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 17.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.42%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawLuton Town
56.54%26.04%17.42%
Both teams to score 39.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.11%61.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.35%81.65%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.88%22.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.5%55.5%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.62%49.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.78%84.22%
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 56.52%
    Luton Town 17.42%
    Draw 26.03%
Swansea CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 16.47%
2-0 @ 12.42%
2-1 @ 8.77%
3-0 @ 6.25%
3-1 @ 4.41%
4-0 @ 2.36%
4-1 @ 1.66%
3-2 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 56.52%
1-1 @ 11.62%
0-0 @ 10.92%
2-2 @ 3.1%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 26.03%
0-1 @ 7.71%
1-2 @ 4.1%
0-2 @ 2.72%
1-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 17.42%

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