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Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 13, 2022 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
PN

Luton
0 - 1
Preston

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Potts (18')
Whiteman (39'), Woodman (77'), Hughes (80'), Storey (85'), Johnson (86'), Ledson (90+5')

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Preston North End

Although Preston recorded an impressive victory at the weekend, they have played out consecutive league draws, and we think that they will have to settle for a draw when they face a Luton side that have also drawn their opening two Championship games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawPreston North End
43.26% (-0.315 -0.31) 28% (0.052999999999997 0.05) 28.74% (0.258 0.26)
Both teams to score 45.92% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.29% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)59.71% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.98% (-0.061 -0.06)80.02% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.62% (-0.20299999999999 -0.2)27.38% (0.199 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.15% (-0.263 -0.26)62.84% (0.257 0.26)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.23% (0.16399999999999 0.16)36.77% (-0.168 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.45% (0.165 0.16)73.55% (-0.169 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 43.26%
    Preston North End 28.74%
    Draw 27.99%
Luton TownDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 13.04% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.45% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.65% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.65% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 43.26%
1-1 @ 13.04% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.06% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.99%
0-1 @ 10.07% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.53% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.04% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.18% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.68% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 28.74%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Luton 2-3 Newport
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Luton
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 0-0 Birmingham
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-1 West Ham
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Peterborough 0-2 Luton
Wednesday, July 20 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Luton
Saturday, July 16 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Huddersfield 1-4 Preston
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Preston 0-0 Hull City
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Wigan 0-0 Preston
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 1-2 Leicester
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Hearts 1-2 Preston
Wednesday, July 20 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Preston 1-0 Accrington
Saturday, July 16 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1


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