Although Preston recorded an impressive victory at the weekend, they have played out consecutive league draws, and we think that they will have to settle for a draw when they face a Luton side that have also drawn their opening two Championship games.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
-0.31) 
0.05) 
