Given the amount of draws which have been recorded since Lowe's arrival at Preston, a low-scoring stalemate cannot be ruled out. Nevertheless, Luton need to capitalise on their home fixtures, leading us to predict a more ruthless performance as they bid to stay in close proximity to the top six. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Preston North End
38.96%	28.97%	32.07%

Both teams to score 44.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.98%

62.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.25%

81.75%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.07%

30.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.77%

67.22%

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.51%

35.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.75%

72.25%

Score Analysis

Luton Town 38.96%

Preston North End 32.06%

Draw 28.96%

Luton Town	Draw	Preston North End
1-0 @ 12.87% 2-1 @ 7.83% 2-0 @ 7.56% 3-1 @ 3.06% 3-0 @ 2.96% 3-2 @ 1.59% Other @ 3.1% Total : 38.96%	1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 10.97% 2-2 @ 4.06% Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.96%	0-1 @ 11.37% 1-2 @ 6.91% 0-2 @ 5.89% 1-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 2.03% 2-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.07% Total : 32.06%