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ML
Championship | Gameweek 13
Oct 20, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Riverside Stadium
B

Middlesbrough
2 - 0
Barnsley

Sporar (20'), Crooks (87')
Peltier (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Moon (86')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawBarnsley
42.78%27.74%29.48%
Both teams to score 47.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.48%58.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.9%79.09%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.92%27.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.55%62.44%
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.46%35.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.69%72.3%
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 42.77%
    Barnsley 29.48%
    Draw 27.74%
MiddlesbroughDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 12.57%
2-1 @ 8.5%
2-0 @ 8.21%
3-1 @ 3.7%
3-0 @ 3.58%
3-2 @ 1.91%
4-1 @ 1.21%
4-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 42.77%
1-1 @ 13%
0-0 @ 9.62%
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.74%
0-1 @ 9.95%
1-2 @ 6.73%
0-2 @ 5.15%
1-3 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 1.78%
2-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 29.48%

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