Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.