Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 46.57%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 24.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.