Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.58%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 23.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Luton Town
48.58%	27.63%	23.78%

Both teams to score 43.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.84%

61.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.89%

81.11%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.64%

25.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.84%

60.15%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.09%

41.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.64%

78.36%

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 48.57%

Luton Town 23.78%

Draw 27.62%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 14.58% 2-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 8.7% 3-0 @ 4.58% 3-1 @ 3.98% 3-2 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.57% 4-1 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.08% Total : 48.57%	1-1 @ 12.68% 0-0 @ 10.62% 2-2 @ 3.78% Other @ 0.54% Total : 27.62%	0-1 @ 9.24% 1-2 @ 5.51% 0-2 @ 4.02% 1-3 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 1.17% 2-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.15% Total : 23.78%