Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.58%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 23.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match.
