We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Coventry City
This match feels like a must-not-lose rather a must-win, and that could lead to a tense occasion. Nevertheless, taking everything into consideration, we can only see a narrow victory for the hosts, who may outlast their opponents on home territory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 46.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Coventry City had a probability of 26.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Coventry City win it was 0-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.
