We said: Middlesbrough 3-0 Reading
On the back of the last two matches, the last thing that Reading would have wanted was a long trip up North to face the in-form team in the division. While Reading can play without expectations, Boro should have more than enough to cruise to victory at the Riverside Stadium.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 58.58%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Reading had a probability of 17.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
