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ML
Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2021 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
NF

Middlesbrough
2 - 0
Nott'm Forest

Bates (17' og.), Sporar (69')
Howson (26')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Samba (32'), Carvalho (71'), Yates (90+2')

We said: Middlesbrough 1-2 Nottingham Forest

With the opportunity to move into the playoff spots, there is pressure on both sides ahead of this contest. That is something which could prove beneficial to the visitors, and we feel that Forest should edge a competitive game in the North-East. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.21%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawNottingham Forest
41.53%28.8%29.67%
Both teams to score 44.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.95%62.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.23%81.77%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.55%29.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.55%65.45%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.69%37.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.91%74.09%
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 41.53%
    Nottingham Forest 29.67%
    Draw 28.79%
MiddlesbroughDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 13.43%
2-0 @ 8.21%
2-1 @ 8.1%
3-0 @ 3.35%
3-1 @ 3.3%
3-2 @ 1.63%
4-0 @ 1.02%
4-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 41.53%
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 10.98%
2-2 @ 3.99%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.79%
0-1 @ 10.83%
1-2 @ 6.53%
0-2 @ 5.34%
1-3 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 1.76%
2-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 29.67%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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