Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 2-1 (7.94%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (11.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match.
