SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
43.91% ( -0.53) | 26.8% ( 0.14) | 29.29% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 49.62% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.87% ( -0.38) | 55.13% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.62% ( -0.31) | 76.38% ( 0.32) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.05% ( -0.43) | 24.95% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.42% ( -0.6) | 59.58% ( 0.61) |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.12% ( 0.09) | 33.88% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.45% ( 0.1) | 70.55% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 11.73% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.42% Total : 43.9% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.8% | 0-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 29.29% |
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