SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bristol City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Swansea City |
38.89% ( 0.17) | 26.01% ( 0.29) | 35.1% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 54.08% ( -1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.68% ( -1.3) | 50.32% ( 1.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.74% ( -1.17) | 72.26% ( 1.17) |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.63% ( -0.5) | 25.37% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.83% ( -0.7) | 60.17% ( 0.7) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.47% ( -0.89) | 27.53% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.96% ( -1.16) | 63.04% ( 1.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 38.89% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.36)2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.13% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 7.97% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.93% Total : 35.1% |
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