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SL
Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 16, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
CC

Swansea
2 - 0
Cardiff

Cullen (34'), Lowe (90+6')
Darling (17'), Allen (21')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Meite (17')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 Swansea
Sunday, March 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 2-1 Ipswich
Saturday, March 9 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Cardiff City

Swansea have struggled in recent matches but should be raring to fight during a South Wales derby in front of their own supporters at the Swansea.com Stadium. Cardiff are threatening a serious top-six push following four-straight wins, but we feel that the Bluebirds will be forced to share the points on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawCardiff City
43.17% (0.019999999999996 0.02) 25.62% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 31.21% (-0.032 -0.03)
Both teams to score 54.24% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.4% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)49.6% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.37% (-0.055 -0.05)71.63% (0.056000000000012 0.06)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.12% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)22.88% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.37% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)56.63% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.34% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)29.66% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.29% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)65.71% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 43.17%
    Cardiff City 31.21%
    Draw 25.62%
Swansea CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 10.01% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.97%
2-0 @ 7.38% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 3.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.63% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.34%
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 43.17%
1-1 @ 12.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.79% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 8.25% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.39% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.01% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 2.99% (-0.0079999999999996 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 31.21%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 Swansea
Sunday, March 10 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-1 Swansea
Wednesday, March 6 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Blackburn
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 1-2 Swansea
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-2 Ipswich
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 0-4 Leeds
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 2-1 Ipswich
Saturday, March 9 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-0 Huddersfield
Wednesday, March 6 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, March 2 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 2-1 Stoke
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 0-0 Blackburn
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 4-1 Cardiff
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Championship


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