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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
BL

Millwall
3 - 4
Blackburn

Watmore (8', 37'), Burke (39')
Cooper (64')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Wharton (22'), Rankin-Costello (51'), Brereton Diaz (63', 86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 2-3 Millwall
Friday, April 28 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Luton
Monday, May 1 at 5.30pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-2 Blackburn Rovers

Both teams have been far from impressive of late and that leads us to expect a tense affair to play out at The Den. With the shackles needing to come off with Blackburn, that could benefit them, and we would not be surprised to see Rovers snatch victory in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawBlackburn Rovers
45.25% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 27.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 27.47% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.25% (0.00099999999999767 0)57.75% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.51% (0.0010000000000012 0)78.49% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.55% (0.010999999999996 0.01)25.45% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.72% (0.014999999999993 0.01)60.28% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.28% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)36.72% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.49% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)73.51% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 45.24%
    Blackburn Rovers 27.47%
    Draw 27.28%
MillwallDrawBlackburn Rovers
1-0 @ 12.78%
2-1 @ 8.77% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 8.75% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 3.99% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2%
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 45.24%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 9.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 9.36% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.69% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 27.47%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Blackpool 2-3 Millwall
Friday, April 28 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Wigan 2-1 Millwall
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Birmingham
Tuesday, April 18 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-0 Preston
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-0 Millwall
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-0 Luton
Friday, April 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Luton
Monday, May 1 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 0-1 Burnley
Tuesday, April 25 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 1-1 Blackburn
Saturday, April 22 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Coventry
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 0-0 Hull City
Saturday, April 15 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 2-2 Blackburn
Monday, April 10 at 12.30pm in Championship


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