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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 at 8pm UK
The Den
BL

Millwall
0 - 1
Birmingham

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jutkiewicz (28')
Bielik (34'), Long (50')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 2-0 Preston
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 Birmingham
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Birmingham City

Millwall face Birmingham, Wigan Athletic and Blackpool in their next three matches, and Rowett will realise his side have a good chance of securing playoff football before they welcome Blackburn Rovers to The Den on the final day. Birmingham have little to play for in terms of promotion or relegation, but a number of the Blues squad will be auditioning for a place at the club next season, and we see Eustace's battling to a point on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 51.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 22.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawBirmingham City
51.82% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 25.51% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 22.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 47.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)54.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.98% (0.00099999999999767 0)76.02% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.86% (0.0010000000000048 0)21.14% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.01% (0.00099999999999767 0)53.99%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)39.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)76.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 51.81%
    Birmingham City 22.67%
    Draw 25.51%
MillwallDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 12.91%
2-0 @ 10.03%
2-1 @ 9.37%
3-0 @ 5.2%
3-1 @ 4.85%
3-2 @ 2.27%
4-0 @ 2.02%
4-1 @ 1.89%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 51.81%
1-1 @ 12.05%
0-0 @ 8.31% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.37%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 7.76%
1-2 @ 5.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.62%
1-3 @ 1.75%
2-3 @ 1.36%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 22.67%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Millwall 2-0 Preston
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-0 Millwall
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-0 Luton
Friday, April 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Millwall
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Huddersfield
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-1 Swansea
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 Birmingham
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Stoke
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 1-1 Birmingham
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Blackburn
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-1 Birmingham
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 3-0 Birmingham
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Championship


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