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Championship | Gameweek 12
Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
ML

Blackburn
2 - 1
Millwall

Dolan (57'), Brereton Diaz (63')
Morton (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cooper (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 2-0 Blackburn
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-1 Blackpool
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Millwall

Millwall head into this contest in the better form and will fancy their chances of edging out their hosts. Nevertheless, in a game between two clubs who have just one draw between them this season, we are backing Rovers to bounce back from their latest defeat with success in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 23.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Blackburn Rovers.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawMillwall
50.42% (-0.878 -0.88) 26.22% (0.423 0.42) 23.36% (0.454 0.45)
Both teams to score 46.63% (-0.68 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.31% (-1.142 -1.14)56.69% (1.143 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.35% (-0.927 -0.93)77.65% (0.92700000000001 0.93)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.44% (-0.85899999999999 -0.86)22.56% (0.858 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.84% (-1.294 -1.29)56.16% (1.293 1.29)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.22% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)39.78% (0.207 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.55% (-0.191 -0.19)76.45% (0.191 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 50.42%
    Millwall 23.36%
    Draw 26.22%
Blackburn RoversDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 13.36% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 9.95% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.17% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-0 @ 4.94% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-1 @ 4.55% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.84% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 50.42%
1-1 @ 12.31% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 8.98% (0.386 0.39)
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 8.27% (0.311 0.31)
1-2 @ 5.68% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.81% (0.123 0.12)
1-3 @ 1.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 23.36%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Luton 2-0 Blackburn
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 2-0 Watford
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 2-3 Bristol City
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackpool 0-1 Blackburn
Wednesday, August 31 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 0-1 Stoke
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bradford 1-2 Blackburn
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Millwall 2-1 Blackpool
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-2 QPR
Wednesday, September 14 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-0 Cardiff
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 2-0 Millwall
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Reading
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-0 Millwall
Friday, August 19 at 8pm in Championship


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