Given their respective schedules over the past two weeks, everything appears to be in the favour of Millwall. Robins will feel that his Coventry side can only improve on the Bristol City game, but Millwall should have more in their legs to come through with a win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 41.03%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Coventry City had a probability of 28.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.34%), while for a Coventry City win it was 0-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.
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