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Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2024 at 12pm UK
The Coventry Building Society Arena
ML

Coventry
2 - 1
Millwall

Wright (67' pen., 70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Esse (12')
Esse (23')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Coventry City 2-1 Millwall

Having pushed Hull last time out, Millwall will feel that they can do the same against the Sky Blues. Nevertheless, we are backing Coventry to bounce back from their recent league disappointments with a hard-earned triumph over the Lions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 54.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 20.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Coventry City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Coventry City.

Result
Coventry CityDrawMillwall
54.13% (0.32700000000001 0.33) 24.92% (-0.145 -0.15) 20.95% (-0.184 -0.18)
Both teams to score 47.39% (0.168 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.8% (0.35 0.35)54.2% (-0.351 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.4% (0.293 0.29)75.6% (-0.29299999999999 -0.29)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.01% (0.27 0.27)19.99% (-0.269 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.82% (0.433 0.43)52.17% (-0.433 -0.43)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.23% (0.010999999999996 0.01)40.77% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.65% (0.010999999999999 0.01)77.34% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 54.13%
    Millwall 20.95%
    Draw 24.92%
Coventry CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 13.12% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 10.56% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.48% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.67% (0.064 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.09% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.28% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.05% (0.041 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 54.13%
1-1 @ 11.77% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.15% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.25% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 24.92%
0-1 @ 7.31% (-0.098999999999999 -0.1)
1-2 @ 5.28% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.58% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.27% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 20.95%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Coventry 4-1 Sheff Weds
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Norwich 2-1 Coventry
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 2-2 Bristol City
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Coventry
Friday, January 26 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-2 Coventry
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 3-1 Leicester
Saturday, January 13 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Preston
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 2-0 Millwall
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-3 Middlesbrough
Saturday, January 13 at 3.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-3 Leicester
Saturday, January 6 at 12.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Millwall
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship


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