SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Ipswich Town |
40.36% ( 0.1) | 26.02% ( -0) | 33.62% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 53.76% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.4% ( -0.01) | 50.6% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.48% ( -0.01) | 72.51% ( 0.01) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.27% ( 0.05) | 24.72% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.73% ( 0.07) | 59.27% ( -0.07) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.41% ( -0.06) | 28.58% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.61% ( -0.08) | 64.38% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Ipswich Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 40.36% | 1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 7.07% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.74% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.67% Total : 33.62% |
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