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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Den
LL

Millwall
1 - 0
Leicester

Longman (59')
Honeyman (11'), Saville (83'), Sarkic (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Winks (21')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-3 Leicester City

After some vital home victories, a solid away performance at The Den would be a massive statement in the Championship promotion race for Leicester. The wind would have been taken out of Millwall's sails after the last-minute defeat at Huddersfield, and the visit of the league leaders is not an ideal opportunity for the Lions to regain their footing in the highly-competitive relegation battle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawLeicester City
32.66% (0.631 0.63) 26.17% (0.329 0.33) 41.17% (-0.959 -0.96)
Both teams to score 53.01% (-0.848 -0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.55% (-1.194 -1.19)51.45% (1.195 1.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.74% (-1.051 -1.05)73.26% (1.052 1.05)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.38% (-0.176 -0.18)29.62% (0.177 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.34% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)65.66% (0.217 0.22)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.32% (-1.016 -1.02)24.69% (1.016 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.78% (-1.442 -1.44)59.22% (1.442 1.44)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 32.66%
    Leicester City 41.17%
    Draw 26.16%
MillwallDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 8.9% (0.375 0.38)
2-1 @ 7.57% (0.065 0.06)
2-0 @ 5.41% (0.203 0.2)
3-1 @ 3.07% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.2% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 32.66%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 7.31% (0.343 0.34)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 10.23% (0.19 0.19)
1-2 @ 8.71% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-2 @ 7.16% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 4.06% (-0.189 -0.19)
0-3 @ 3.34% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 41.17%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Huddersfield 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Millwall
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-1 West Brom
Friday, March 29 at 1pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-0 Millwall
Sunday, March 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Birmingham
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Millwall
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Leicester 2-1 Birmingham
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leicester 3-1 Norwich
Monday, April 1 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 Leicester
Friday, March 29 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Chelsea 4-2 Leicester
Sunday, March 17 at 12.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Hull City 2-2 Leicester
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-1 Leicester
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship


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