SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 63.44%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 16.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 1-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Norwich City win it was 1-2 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City | Draw | Norwich City |
63.44% ( -0.53) | 19.71% ( 0.06) | 16.85% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 56.9% ( 0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.01% ( 0.63) | 37.98% ( -0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.75% ( 0.67) | 60.25% ( -0.67) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.61% ( 0.05) | 11.39% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.86% ( 0.1) | 36.13% ( -0.1) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.22% ( 0.95) | 35.78% ( -0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.44% ( 0.96) | 72.55% ( -0.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City | Draw | Norwich City |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.26)1-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 2% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.29% Total : 63.44% | 1-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.13)0-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.19% Total : 19.71% | 1-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.49% Total : 16.85% |
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