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CL
FA Cup | Quarter-Finals
Mar 17, 2024 at 12.45pm UK
Stamford Bridge
LL

Chelsea
4 - 2
Leicester

Cucurella (13'), Palmer (45+1'), Chukwuemeka (90+2'), Madueke (90+8')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Disasi (51' og.), Mavididi (62')
Mavididi (67'), Coady (90+6')
Doyle (73')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 3-2 Newcastle
Monday, March 11 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Hull City 2-2 Leicester
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 47.3%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
ChelseaDrawLeicester City
47.3% (0.623 0.62) 23.5% (0.524 0.52) 29.2% (-1.145 -1.15)
Both teams to score 60.34% (-2.65 -2.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.9% (-3.168 -3.17)41.1% (3.17 3.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.5% (-3.304 -3.3)63.5% (3.306 3.31)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.38% (-0.98 -0.98)17.62% (0.983 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.79% (-1.733 -1.73)48.21% (1.734 1.73)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25% (-2.316 -2.32)26.75% (2.318 2.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.98% (-3.156 -3.16)62.03% (3.158 3.16)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea 47.3%
    Leicester City 29.2%
    Draw 23.5%
ChelseaDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 9.37% (0.153 0.15)
1-0 @ 8.18% (0.893 0.89)
2-0 @ 7.1% (0.565 0.57)
3-1 @ 5.42% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.11% (0.203 0.2)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.307 -0.31)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.117 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.79% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.189 -0.19)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 47.3%
1-1 @ 10.79% (0.52 0.52)
2-2 @ 6.18% (-0.317 -0.32)
0-0 @ 4.71% (0.648 0.65)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.252 -0.25)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.5%
1-2 @ 7.11% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-1 @ 6.22% (0.487 0.49)
0-2 @ 4.1% (0.061000000000001 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.13% (-0.273 -0.27)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.335 -0.34)
0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.095 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.167 -0.17)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 29.2%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Chelsea 3-2 Newcastle
Monday, March 11 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 2-2 Chelsea
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 3-2 Leeds
Wednesday, February 28 at 7.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Chelsea 0-1 Liverpool
Sunday, February 25 at 3pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Man City 1-1 Chelsea
Saturday, February 17 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-3 Chelsea
Monday, February 12 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Hull City 2-2 Leicester
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-1 Leicester
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Leicester 1-2 QPR
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-1 Leicester
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Leeds 3-1 Leicester
Friday, February 23 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Leicester 1-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Championship


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