Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 47.3%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
0.62) 
-1.15) 
