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ML
Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 2, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
The Den
RL

Millwall
1 - 0
Reading

Afobe (71')
Kieftenbeld (31'), Leonard (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 48.11%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Reading had a probability of 24.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match.

Result
MillwallDrawReading
48.11%27.52%24.36%
Both teams to score 44.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.58%60.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.45%80.55%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.75%25.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40%60%
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.06%40.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.5%77.5%
Score Analysis
    Millwall 48.11%
    Reading 24.36%
    Draw 27.51%
MillwallDrawReading
1-0 @ 14.22%
2-0 @ 9.79%
2-1 @ 8.74%
3-0 @ 4.49%
3-1 @ 4.01%
3-2 @ 1.79%
4-0 @ 1.55%
4-1 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 48.11%
1-1 @ 12.7%
0-0 @ 10.33%
2-2 @ 3.91%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 27.51%
0-1 @ 9.23%
1-2 @ 5.67%
0-2 @ 4.12%
1-3 @ 1.69%
0-3 @ 1.23%
2-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 24.36%

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