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DL
Championship | Gameweek 10
Sep 29, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park
RL

Derby
1 - 0
Reading

Forsyth (33')
Stearman (16'), Byrne (59'), Shinnie (74'), Lawrence (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Reading had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Derby County in this match.

Result
Derby CountyDrawReading
41.64%28.18%30.18%
Both teams to score 46.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.2%59.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.91%80.09%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.7%28.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.98%64.02%
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.31%35.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.53%72.47%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 41.64%
    Reading 30.18%
    Draw 28.17%
Derby CountyDrawReading
1-0 @ 12.75%
2-1 @ 8.29%
2-0 @ 8.05%
3-1 @ 3.49%
3-0 @ 3.39%
3-2 @ 1.8%
4-1 @ 1.1%
4-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 41.64%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 10.1%
2-2 @ 4.27%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.17%
0-1 @ 10.4%
1-2 @ 6.77%
0-2 @ 5.36%
1-3 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 1.84%
2-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 30.18%

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