SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Norwich City |
41.33% ( -0.01) | 24.71% ( 0.01) | 33.97% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.34% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.29% ( -0.05) | 44.71% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.93% ( -0.05) | 67.07% ( 0.06) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.35% ( -0.03) | 21.65% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.22% ( -0.04) | 54.78% ( 0.05) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.47% ( -0.02) | 25.54% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.61% ( -0.03) | 60.39% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Norwich City |
| 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.47% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.3% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 41.33% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.7% | 1-2 @ 7.88% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 33.97% |
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